الرئيسية » مدونات » نجاة شرف الدين Najat Charafeddine »

العين على تركيا ..والمعركة في أدلب

نجاة شرف الدين
لن يُحدث قرار الرئيس التركي رجب طيب اردوغان منع الإلكترونيات الاميركية اي تحول بالنسبة لليرة التركية ولن يكون لذلك اي تداعيات مباشرة ، كما لم يستطع ان يفعل ذلك ايضا ، عند دعوته الشعب التركي لبيع الذهب والعملات الأجنبية وتحويلها لليرة التركية دعما للعملة الوطنية .
منذ فرض الرئيس الاميركي دونالد ترامب إجراءات بمضاعفة التعرفة الجمركية على المعادن والألمنيوم وعقوبات بحق وزيرين في الحكومة ، بدأت تركيا تعيش اجواء القلق والاضطراب في الاسواق المالية والاقتصادية العالمية ، وتراجعت ثقة المستثمرين وتدهورت الليرة التركيَّة بنسبة وصلت الى أربعين بالمئة ، وَمِمَّا زاد من تفاقم الازمة دخول اردوغان شخصيا على خط المعالجة المالية عبر منع حاكم البنك المركزي التركي من رفع معدلات الفوائد كتدبير لوقف تدهور الليرة واخذ على عاتقه إدارة الملف المالي والى جانبه صهره وزير المالية .
وعلى الرغم من وقوف المعارضة الى جانب اردوغان في مواجهة الهجمة الاميركية ، الا ان هناك العديد من الانتقادات التي تلقاها اردوغان في إصراره على إدارة هذه الازمة وأبرزها من خبراء ماليين واقتصاديين لا سيما لما ستواجهه تركيا في ظل الاستحقاقات الضخمة بالعملات الأجنبية في العام 2018 والتي تصل الى 230 مليار دولار .
في أي حال ، صحيح ان البُعد المالي والاقتصادي هو الذي برز الى الواجهة كنتيجة أولية لتوتر العلاقة الاميركية التركية ، الا ان الُبعد السياسي يبقى الأساس ، فالتوتر الذي جاء على خلفية احتجاز القس الاميركي أندرو برونسون ، هو القشة التي أطاحت التراكمات منذ الانقلاب الذي حصل في صيف العام 2016 والذي اتهمت به تركيا عبد الله غولن وطالبت الولايات المتحدة بتسليمه ولم يتم الاستجابة لهذا الطلب ، واستمر التوتر على خلفية الملف السوري مع دعم واشنطن لقوات سوريا الديمقراطية وموقف تركيا من الاكراد اضافة الى التقارب مع ايران ورفض تطبيق العقوبات عليها والتقارب مع روسيا وصفقة صواريخ اس 400 .
التوتر الاميركي التركي بلغ مرحلة عالية من التصعيد في اللهجة ، واتهم أردوغان واشنطن بطعن بلاده في الظهر ملوحا بالبحث عن حلفاء جدد . كلام اردوغان هذا ، ولو انه يعبر ربما عن رغبة اردوغانية سياسية ولديه ورقة قاعدة انجرليك التي لا يستطيع بسهولة استخدامها في هذه المعركة ، الا انه ليس سهل التطبيق واقعيا اقتصاديا وماليا ، فاقتصاد دول البريكس لا يزال ضعيفا بسبب نسبة العمليات المالية في العالم بالدولار التي لا تزال تشكل 62 بالمئة والنظام المالي العالمي يعتمد على السويفت وهو تحت سيطرة الولايات المتحدة الاميركية والمواد الاولية في العالم ايضا يتم تسعيرها بالدولار اضافة الى ان البنوك الاساسية في العالم هي اميركية .
في المقابل الرئيس ترامب الذي يقود حروب العملات مع الصين والاتحاد الأوروبي وايران وتركيا وروسيا ربما تؤدي مع الوقت الى أضعاف هيمنة ودور الدولار عالميا وتدفع الدول الاخرى الى البدء بالتفكير جديا بنظام مالي آخر ، ولكن ذلك ، يحتاج الى اتفاقات كبرى بين هذه الدول والى مرحلة ليست بالقصيرة .

الازمة الاميركية التركية بلغت ذروتها ، وسيعود خط المفاوضات بين البلدين ، في وقت ليس بالبعيد ، للبحث عن المخارج . وفي ظل هذا الضجيج ، بدأت تبرز الى الواجهة طلائع معركة كانت تنتظر الظروف لتمريرها ، فهل يكون هذا الظرف التركي مناسبا روسيا لتمرير معركة أدلب في سوريا مع اعلان احد الجنرالات الروس عن اقتراب الموعد ؟ وهل تكون أدلب احد ابرز النتائج لهذه الازمة ؟

اقرأ للكاتب نفس:

اُكتب تعليقك (Your comment):

صحافة اسرائيل

إعلان

خاص «برس - نت»

صفحة رأي

مدونات الكتاب

آخر التعليقات

    أخبار بووم على الفيسبوك

    تابعنا على تويتر

    Translate »
    We use cookies to personalise content and ads, to provide social media features and to analyse our traffic. We also share information about your use of our site with our social media, advertising and analytics partners.
    Cookies settings
    Accept
    Privacy & Cookie policy
    Privacy & Cookies policy
    Cookie name Active

    Privacy Policy

    What information do we collect?

    We collect information from you when you register on our site or place an order. When ordering or registering on our site, as appropriate, you may be asked to enter your: name, e-mail address or mailing address.

    What do we use your information for?

    Any of the information we collect from you may be used in one of the following ways: To personalize your experience (your information helps us to better respond to your individual needs) To improve our website (we continually strive to improve our website offerings based on the information and feedback we receive from you) To improve customer service (your information helps us to more effectively respond to your customer service requests and support needs) To process transactions Your information, whether public or private, will not be sold, exchanged, transferred, or given to any other company for any reason whatsoever, without your consent, other than for the express purpose of delivering the purchased product or service requested. To administer a contest, promotion, survey or other site feature To send periodic emails The email address you provide for order processing, will only be used to send you information and updates pertaining to your order.

    How do we protect your information?

    We implement a variety of security measures to maintain the safety of your personal information when you place an order or enter, submit, or access your personal information. We offer the use of a secure server. All supplied sensitive/credit information is transmitted via Secure Socket Layer (SSL) technology and then encrypted into our Payment gateway providers database only to be accessible by those authorized with special access rights to such systems, and are required to?keep the information confidential. After a transaction, your private information (credit cards, social security numbers, financials, etc.) will not be kept on file for more than 60 days.

    Do we use cookies?

    Yes (Cookies are small files that a site or its service provider transfers to your computers hard drive through your Web browser (if you allow) that enables the sites or service providers systems to recognize your browser and capture and remember certain information We use cookies to help us remember and process the items in your shopping cart, understand and save your preferences for future visits, keep track of advertisements and compile aggregate data about site traffic and site interaction so that we can offer better site experiences and tools in the future. We may contract with third-party service providers to assist us in better understanding our site visitors. These service providers are not permitted to use the information collected on our behalf except to help us conduct and improve our business. If you prefer, you can choose to have your computer warn you each time a cookie is being sent, or you can choose to turn off all cookies via your browser settings. Like most websites, if you turn your cookies off, some of our services may not function properly. However, you can still place orders by contacting customer service. Google Analytics We use Google Analytics on our sites for anonymous reporting of site usage and for advertising on the site. If you would like to opt-out of Google Analytics monitoring your behaviour on our sites please use this link (https://tools.google.com/dlpage/gaoptout/)

    Do we disclose any information to outside parties?

    We do not sell, trade, or otherwise transfer to outside parties your personally identifiable information. This does not include trusted third parties who assist us in operating our website, conducting our business, or servicing you, so long as those parties agree to keep this information confidential. We may also release your information when we believe release is appropriate to comply with the law, enforce our site policies, or protect ours or others rights, property, or safety. However, non-personally identifiable visitor information may be provided to other parties for marketing, advertising, or other uses.

    Registration

    The minimum information we need to register you is your name, email address and a password. We will ask you more questions for different services, including sales promotions. Unless we say otherwise, you have to answer all the registration questions. We may also ask some other, voluntary questions during registration for certain services (for example, professional networks) so we can gain a clearer understanding of who you are. This also allows us to personalise services for you. To assist us in our marketing, in addition to the data that you provide to us if you register, we may also obtain data from trusted third parties to help us understand what you might be interested in. This ‘profiling’ information is produced from a variety of sources, including publicly available data (such as the electoral roll) or from sources such as surveys and polls where you have given your permission for your data to be shared. You can choose not to have such data shared with the Guardian from these sources by logging into your account and changing the settings in the privacy section. After you have registered, and with your permission, we may send you emails we think may interest you. Newsletters may be personalised based on what you have been reading on theguardian.com. At any time you can decide not to receive these emails and will be able to ‘unsubscribe’. Logging in using social networking credentials If you log-in to our sites using a Facebook log-in, you are granting permission to Facebook to share your user details with us. This will include your name, email address, date of birth and location which will then be used to form a Guardian identity. You can also use your picture from Facebook as part of your profile. This will also allow us and Facebook to share your, networks, user ID and any other information you choose to share according to your Facebook account settings. If you remove the Guardian app from your Facebook settings, we will no longer have access to this information. If you log-in to our sites using a Google log-in, you grant permission to Google to share your user details with us. This will include your name, email address, date of birth, sex and location which we will then use to form a Guardian identity. You may use your picture from Google as part of your profile. This also allows us to share your networks, user ID and any other information you choose to share according to your Google account settings. If you remove the Guardian from your Google settings, we will no longer have access to this information. If you log-in to our sites using a twitter log-in, we receive your avatar (the small picture that appears next to your tweets) and twitter username.

    Children’s Online Privacy Protection Act Compliance

    We are in compliance with the requirements of COPPA (Childrens Online Privacy Protection Act), we do not collect any information from anyone under 13 years of age. Our website, products and services are all directed to people who are at least 13 years old or older.

    Updating your personal information

    We offer a ‘My details’ page (also known as Dashboard), where you can update your personal information at any time, and change your marketing preferences. You can get to this page from most pages on the site – simply click on the ‘My details’ link at the top of the screen when you are signed in.

    Online Privacy Policy Only

    This online privacy policy applies only to information collected through our website and not to information collected offline.

    Your Consent

    By using our site, you consent to our privacy policy.

    Changes to our Privacy Policy

    If we decide to change our privacy policy, we will post those changes on this page.
    Save settings
    Cookies settings